Introduction

It is almost impossible to talk publicly about climate change and global warming these days, because people with agendas like to scream and yell and drown out calmer and more reasonable heads.  So I thought I’d write this short post and present some actual solar data.

Decrease in Solar Activity

Sunspot activity, in general, is a good indicator of how much solar radiation reaches the earth. During warming cycles, as the 11-year solar cycles advance, an increase in the solar maximum means more solar radiation is hitting the earth, and will eventually mean warmer temperatures. Weakening solar cycles over time indicate less solar activity, and will eventually lead to planetary cooling.

However, in a massive object such as the earth, there is always a temperature lag from global warming to cooling, and vice-versa.

There is no doubt that the planet has been experiencing a warming trend, but an examination of the past four solar cycles, from #21  through #24, show a gradual decrease in solar activity. Indications are that the current solar cycle, #25, will be even weaker than #24, which began in 2009.

On the graph below, notice the decrease in solar maximas (the highest points of the graph, where solar activity is strongest), and the increase in solar minima (the lowest points on the graph). There is an increasing lag between the end of one solar cycle and the beginning of the next one. During these lags, solar activity is much weaker, and these periods have been increasing over time.

Overview

The sun continues to be very quiet and it has been without sunspots this year 62% of the time as we approach what is likely to be one of the deepest solar minimums in a long, long time. In fact, all indications are that the upcoming solar minimum may be even quieter than the last one which was the deepest in nearly a century.  In addition, there are now forecasts that the next solar cycle, #25, will be the weakest in more than 200 years.  The current solar cycle, #24, has been the weakest with the fewest sunspots since solar cycle 14 peaked in February 1906. Solar cycle 24 continues a recent trend of weakening solar cycles which began with solar cycle 21 that peaked around 1980 and if the latest forecasts are correct, that trend will continue for at least another decade or so.

Deep solar minimum

The sun is blank again today and this is the 31st spotless day in a row which is just two behind the total (33) set earlier this year making the current Solar Cycle (SC24) hitting over 30 day totals for consecutive spotless days on four occasions, last seen in the 1910’s. We are now entering into the next solar minimum phase and there are indications that it will be as deep and long as any in more than a century.”

https://arcfieldweather.com/blog/2019/6/19/1030-am-now-entering-a-deep-solar-minimum-and-the-latest-forecast-for-solar-cycle-25-suggests-it-may-be-the-weakest-cycle-in-200-years

Arcfield Weather is the weather service provided by meteorologist Paul Dorian, who provides 6-day weather forecasts for the Philadelphia, Washington, D.C. and New York City metro regions in the Mid-Atlantic region as well as Huntsville, Alabama in the Southeast US and Denver, Colorado in the Rocky Mountain States.

I trust private forecasters who get paid to be accurate, rather than government agencies like NOAA, NASA, and the hysterically politicized International Panel on Climate Change at the United Nations.

Conclusion

No one knows for sure what will happen with the weather, but this data shows a long-term gradual decrease in solar activity, which indicates a coming cooling trend.

The rest of the article is worth reading.